AL West: Underrated stars stepping forward for Angels

Baseball Betting Lines

07/06/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim manager Mike Scioscia knows who his most valuable players are, though they may not be recognized as easily on a national scale. Nevertheless, they are the guys who deliver the clutch hits, make the run-saving grabs, and keep opposing lineups in check.

One of those players is center fielder Torii Hunter, who was selected by his peers to play in his fourth career All-Star game, albeit in a reserve role.

Hunter backed up his All-Star nod with a monstrous offensive output in Sunday's 11-0 thumping of the Kansas City Royals, belting two home runs and tying a career-high with seven RBI. The veteran center fielder has gone deep 14 times this season in addition to his 60 RBI to earn a spot in this month's Midsummer Classic at his home ballpark, Angel Stadium.

Also on Sunday, Joel Pineiro matched a career-high by recording his sixth straight win. Pineiro is pitching to a 2.08 ERA during his streak, and he has lasted six innings or more in 15 of 17 starts.

Meanwhile, fellow starter Jered Weaver's All-Star snub has turned quite a few heads. The Angels' ace leads the American League with 124 strikeouts and ranks seventh with a 2.82 ERA.

Yankees manager Joe Girardi, who will coach the AL squad, does have three more pitcher openings on his roster -- New York's CC Sabathia and Oakland's Trevor Cahill both started Sunday and will not be available, while Boston's Clay Buchholz is on the disabled list with a leg injury. But that doesn't automatically open the door for Weaver, as names like Andy Pettitte (NY), Justin Verlander (DET) and Andrew Bailey (OAK) have all earned strong consideration.

Teammates Joe Saunders and Torii Hunter were among those caught off guard by the news of Weaver's roster exclusion.

"It's the dumbest thing I've ever heard," Saunders told The Orange County Register. "You can quote me on that."

Another player who has certainly made a case to play in the Midsummer Classic is Howie Kendrick, who has knocked in 50 runs while playing air-tight defense at second base. Kendrick hit .301 in June and saw his chances aided when Boston's Dustin Pedroia recently broke his left foot. However, New York's Robinson Cano was named the AL starter at second base after leading the voting for virtually the duration of the balloting.

While Hunter will get to soak in the All-Star festivities next week, Kendrick and Weaver represent two very vital pieces to the Angels' success. That can also be said for Pineiro and shortstop Erick Aybar, who is on a 13-for-32 (.406) tear since returning from a left knee injury. All-Stars or not, these are the players who must continue to step up if the Angels are to close the 3 1/2 game gap separating them and the first-place Texas Rangers.

RANGERS' LINEUP BOASTS MAJOR STAR POWER

When opposing teams prepare to face the Texas Rangers, they seldom spend a lot of time talking about the Rangers' pitching or defense. Rather, it is the Rangers' ridiculously imposing lineup that continues to grab everybody's attention. And judging by the American League All-Star roster, that's a sentiment shared by players, coaches and fans alike.

Texas is poised to send each of its Nos. 1-5 hitters to next week's All-Star game, including two starters in cleanup hitter Vladimir Guerrero (.328, 18 HR, 70 RBI) and No. 5 hitter Josh Hamilton (.340, 20 HR, 61 RBI). And if he hadn't missed a chunk of the season with a hamstring injury, No. 6 hitter Nelson Cruz (.305, 10 HR, 39 RBI) would almost certainly be making his second consecutive All-Star appearance. Cruz became the first player in Rangers history to blast seven homers through 11 games before being slowed by a bad wheel.

Second-year shortstop and leadoff man Elvis Andrus (.290, 22 SB) earned his first All-Star nod as a players' selection, while No. 3 hitter Ian Kinsler (.304) replaces Boston's Dustin Pedroia (DL) at second base. For Kinsler, this marks his second All-Star selection since winning the AL Rookie of the Year in 2006.

Third baseman and No. 2 hitter Michael Young is vying for his seventh consecutive All-Star game, though he'll need fan support to beat out the four other players competing for the AL Final Vote. The club's all-time leading hitter is in the midst of another standout season, hitting .306 with 11 homers, 51 RBI and a team-high 24 doubles.

Collectively, that's a murderer's row lineup for even elite pitchers to have to navigate. And it's the main reason why the Rangers still hold a 3 1/2 game lead in the AL West despite a 1-4 record thus far in July.

THE LEE SWEEPSTAKES HAVE BEGUN

According to a report from AOL Fanhouse on Monday, the Minnesota Twins have thrown their hat into the mix for starting pitcher Cliff Lee by offering two coveted prospects for the All-Star southpaw.

The prospects are outfielder Aaron Hicks and catcher Wilson Ramos. The 20- year-old Hicks was the 14th overall pick in the 2008 draft class and has logged a .792 OPS in three minor league seasons. The 22-year-old Ramos has struggled with a .208 batting average for Triple-A Rochester, though he hit .317 last year between Rookie and Double-A ball.

In 13 starts this season, Lee has compiled a 2.34 ERA to go along with 89 strikeouts and only six walks. To put that ratio into perspective, he has logged five complete games, or one less than the amount of free passes he has issued. Just as expected, he has formed an elite 1-2 punch atop the rotation with Felix Hernandez, who has posted 15 quality starts in 18 outings this season. But with Seattle 14 games behind Texas in the division standings, it has become increasingly unlikely the team will hold on to Lee, who becomes a free agent at season's end.

A'S HOPING FOR HEALTHY ARMS AFTER THE BREAK

For the past decade, the Oakland Athletics' formula for success has hinged on getting stellar pitching without breaking the bank. The same holds true this year, although their primary concern at the moment is getting some guys healthy.

Dallas Braden is penciled in to return to the rotation after the All-Star break. He has been battling stiffness in his left elbow and has not taken the mound since June 22. Braden was placed on the DL July 3. He has not recorded a win since tossing a perfect game on May 9.

Meanwhile, Brett Anderson is targeting a July 19 return from left elbow tendinitis. He threw a simulated game on July 4 and will build on his throwing routine every five days. Anderson was also sidelined from April 25 to May 28 with the same injury.

Trevor Cahill (8-2, 2.74) is the team's lone All-Star representative, although you could certainly have made a case for closer Andrew Bailey being on the roster. Bailey has converted 17 of 20 saves while posting a 1.59 ERA on the season,

This marks the ninth straight year that the A's have sent at least one pitcher to the All-Star game.

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Big East Conference odds

Work left to do: Villanova, Syracuse, DePaul, West Virginia, Providence

Notre Dame and Louisville appear to have done enough to make the move, so we'll make them locks. The Cardinals, despite a modest RPI, are trending way up and have clinched at least a tie for third in the Big East, which should be more than enough with their pair of big road wins. Villanova got back to .500 and gets back to more solid footing. Syracuse got a very important road win and crippled a fellow contender in the process. West Virginia's fate could be in its hands Tuesday at Pitt.

Work left to do:

Villanova [18-9 (7-7), RPI: 21, SOS: 5] Pounded Rutgers to get back to .500. If Cats can get their last two (at UConn, vs. Syracuse), that should be enough with strong computer numbers and a host of wins away from The Pavilion. The Cats have beaten Texas and swept the Big 5 (never easy in Philly), but have a couple of losses to bubble teams (Xavier, Drexel), too. I still think they'll be OK, possibly even at 8-8.

Syracuse [20-8 (9-5), RPI: 53, SOS: 62] History says 10 wins will be plenty, but it might be hard for the Orange to get that last one with a final two vs. G'town, which is trying to win the league title, and at Villanova, which will be desperate for a W. The relative lack of nonconference heft and the weak computer numbers are still concerns, but the Orange have won four in a row and got a very, very big win at Providence on Saturday.

DePaul [16-12 (8-7), RPI: 54, SOS: 18] Beat Cincy and should get past South Florida to get to 9-7, but then what? They have beaten Kansas and Cal (right after the DeVon Hardin injury) earlier this season, but also have lost to Bradley and Purdue, among others. They'll likely need a couple of BE tourney wins, too, but we'll see ...

West Virginia [19-7 (8-6), RPI: 58, SOS: 125] The game at Pitt on Tuesday night could decide the Mountaineers' fate (barring a deep tournament run). They can still get to 9-7 in the Big East without it by beating Cincinnati, but the nine wins would be against UConn, Villanova, St. John's, South Florida, DePaul, Rutgers, Seton Hall twice and the Bearcats. Beating bubble foes is fine, but where's the beef? Outside of beating PG-less UCLA in nonconference play (still a top quality win), there's not a lot to fall back on (besides maybe NC State). WVU vs. Syracuse would be an interesting debate, as the teams don't play in the Big East regular season. WVU has the best win, but Cuse has played the much better schedule.

Providence [17-10 (7-7), RPI: 70, SOS: 33] The Friars likely saw their at-large hopes die at home in the four-point loss to Syracuse, barring an unexpected run to the Big East semis or more. The RPI, bad already, won't be helped by playing St. John's and South Florida in the final two league games.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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